The ban is unconvincing and Christina is preparing to run for senator

A unique and outdated theory of prohibition Christina did not convince anyone. Polls conducted by the vice president’s closest associates suggest that even ultra-religious fanatics do not. Kirchnerism They are convinced of the strategy of trying to compare him with Juan Domingo Peron. He also did not help the chief of staff much. Augustine Rossiand Minister of Security, Hannibal Fernandezrelatively described the prohibition myth in public.

The truth is that Christina Kirchner was sentenced to six years in prison last December for fraud against the state in a highway case. Kirchnerism made the visionary and entrepreneur Lázaro Baez a millionaire, as was the fortune of the Kirchners, providing 86% of the public works in Santa Cruz. But the Vice President can be a candidate for whatever he wants until the Cassation Chamber and the Supreme Court approve his sentence. And it can happen only after two years. The only truth is the truth, said Peron.

While anxious Kirchnerists and activists, who followed the directives without subjecting them to honest evaluation, were drunk on the gas of prohibition, more sincere leaders began to work on the next goal. Cristina is already preparing for the inevitable candidacy for senator of the province of Buenos Aires. Kirchnerism needs the savings banks of Buenos Aires to survive politically.

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A candidate for the governorship axel Kitsilof alone is not enough to win. They need Christina’s name to stand out on the ballot in bigger letters than the rest of the candidates. “If he’s not on the ballot, he’s going to spend a lot of money on election day getting people to vote and recruiting prosecutors,” the worried camp admits.

Another factor driving Cristina’s candidacy for senator is the pressure from mayors in the suburbs of Buenos Aires. Most of them, even those who like him the least, will admit that when the Vice President is on the ballot, they have a higher electoral floor to start with. No one wants to lose every one of their constituencies in what is going to be a down-and-out election for the Frente de Todos.

The cost to be paid by the barons of Greater Buenos Aires is to fill the lists of legislative candidates (provincial national deputies and senators, councilors of municipalities) with the names of La Campora or Kirchnerists, blessed by Cristina. “This is a high price, too high, but the loss is worse,” believes one of those mayors.

The Kirchneristas, the Camporistas, as well as the followers of Sergio Massa in the province, regret the angry and furious speech that Cristina made on December 6, as soon as they learned that she had been sentenced to six years. The Vice President not only criticized the decision of the judges of the 2nd Federal Oral Court, but also predicted that he would not be a “candidate for anything”.

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Most importantly, campaign strategists working with Christina must find arguments to counter the nervousness and lack of political control that day. Since the Vice President is on the campaign trail, they have to find a way to cover up the angry mistakes.

1.- Christina said that she will not be a candidate for “anything” because the judgment was a mechanism to ban her.

2.- He explained that he will not allow his opponents to call him “the absent candidate…” in a mocking manner, which turned him into a meme on social networks.

3.- He also stated that he was running for parliamentary privileges to protect himself from the investigation of serious crimes as an election candidate on that day, and that he would not allow attacks in campaign contests.

4.- At that time he also rejected the criticism regarding the alleged claim to retain control of the Senate. If he is elected senator (which he would achieve without major problems) or finds one of his confidants as a candidate for vice president and wins, he can expand this domain, a hypothesis that is increasingly doubtful. .

Cristina, as well as Maximo Kirchner, has a good relationship with Sergio Massa, whom he regards as the only leader of the Vice-President Frente de Todos capable of fighting opposition candidates and fighting for the presidency. Ultra Kirchner Senator Anabel Fernández Sagasti is one of the candidates with the best chances in the formula with the minister.

An alternative candidate for Massa, which Cristina has not ruled out, could be Daniel Scioli, currently Argentina’s ambassador to Brazil. Not only because he suffered a very deserved defeat in 2015 (he lost to Mauricio Macri by 2.5% in the second round), but also because he has the support of Alberto Fernández.

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But the President also has his own myths and fantasies. Cristina believes she can run for re-election in October, just as Sergio Massa or Daniele Scioli envision formulas for a chance at the presidency. “With Alberto’s candidacy, we risk Miley (Javier) getting too big and taking us off the ballot,” Cristina told her supporters. He will do whatever it takes to force Alberto to drop out of PASO. Nowadays, it is not easy to convince someone whose sole power is to sign decrees. “I’ll come down when they have the best of me,” he says, returning from Casa Rosada.

It is also not easy to come to terms with Massa as a potential candidate. This Tuesday, the Minister of Economy will face the inflation rate for February (a few tenths higher than the forecast of 6%). In addition, he will be the first financial manager since 1991 to have to deal with annual inflation exceeding three digits.

The masses must add the complexities of global financial organization to the clouded picture of the cost of living. The intransigence of the International Monetary Fund is hindering the organization’s ability to flex the Central Bank’s monetary reserve targets. The agreement with the IMF indicated that Argentina must maintain compliance with the Central Bank’s reserve targets and budget deficit reduction targets. At the end of this month, it should have about 7.8 billion US dollars. Obviously he doesn’t get them.

There has been no statement yet from the IMF in Washington, where Deputy Minister Gabriel Rubinstein and Leonardo Madkur are secretaries. A grassroots economist told the minister that the IMF’s difficulty in approving the waiver (sorry) is now that the government will say how and where it will cut spending to reduce the budget deficit. Otherwise, there will be no flexibility possible with Central Bank reserves.

The outrage over Argentina’s systematic non-compliance with the IMF is not limited to the organization’s directors. Shareholders (its constituent countries and primarily the US) have been checking Argentina’s economic variables for several days. The sanction of the pension moratorium in Congress was evaluated by the Monetary Fund as a message that the government has no intention of reducing the budget deficit in any way.

The alarm bells in Kirchnerism are increasing. The poll shows that the possible candidacies of Vado de Pedro or Maximo Kirchner are not competitive. When Axel Kitsillof emerges from the total collapse of the cosmos and becomes an alternative in the event that he is on the ballot with him as a senatorial candidate.

The purpose of putting Kitsillof and Cristina on the same ticket is to strengthen the Frente de Todos ticket. They believe that the Buenos Aires gubernatorial election will be tough, and Cristina’s presence will help them retain the governorship, where they will have to face either Rep. Diego Santilli (Horácio Rodríguez Larreta won’t win the presidential race) or some other candidate. The fact that Patricia Bullrich won the primaries (where Mayor Nestor Grindetti, Joaquín de la Torre or Javier Iguacel will increase their chances, although there are those who believe that the figure of Macri Christian Ritondo can be imposed) can be seen in this advantage. according to Bullrich).

It was during these days that Christina began to take down the sails of her failed attempt to outlaw herself. And it goes back to the eyes. As in 2017, he leads the electoral list again. In this case, the list of senators of the province of Buenos Aires.

Last Friday, Christina gave a wide-ranging speech to answer the judges who sentenced her. At the National University of Rio Negro, he tried to restore the center. A role that paralyzed the country some time ago. This effect no longer exists. Interest in his suffering waned, and the force of the verdict did the rest.

Peronism with Stockholm syndrome, which has been going on for twenty years, still does not dare to challenge Christina Kirchner. Córdoba Governor Juan Schiaretti has shown no signs of renewal as he wants to lead a showdown with the vice president along with other leaders.

Little, too little to change the direction that water makes everywhere. The only certainty for everyone’s front is Christina. And Peronism will vote him back because he has no attractive options.

Because it’s a drifting ship, and it desperately needs a signal to allow it to survive.

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